Wednesday, October 14, 2009

Forecasting Global Warming

Anyone who golfs frequently and tries to make plans in advance using projected weather forecasts understands the margin of error of forecasting weather. If they can't tell me with absolute certainty what is going to happen next week, how in the hell should I believe what you say will happen in 100 years? Moreover, these "forecast models" predicting "climate Armageddon" were not measuring cloud formations, moving pressure fronts, solar activity, geological data, such as my local weatherman does. No, this whole hoax is based on drilling some holes in the ice in the North Pole and cutting down some trees in Siberia.

As the wise philosopher Andre 3000 once wrote, "you can plan a pretty picnic, but you can't predict the weather." Well done Andre. Well done.

They took a tiny microcosm of the data that explains the complex organism of global climate, and from it extrapolated this elaborate "climate model". To even reasonably predict world climate you require several key variables, and even then there is a decent chance you could be wrong. You can't look at carbon in a stick of ice and tell me that it was 35 degrees and partly cloudy on October 14, 10,000BC! My local weatherman couldn't tell me that it was going to rain a few weekends ago! The data that the climatologists need in order to forecast their models does not exist beyond this past century. What we have observed is that it heats up then cools down then heats up then cools down then heats up and well you get the point. They are now trying to tell me that the climate is unpredictable at the same time that they are telling me to change my life based on a flawed prediction. To say climate change is a crisis when the climate is always changing feels like an oxymoron. Global Warming was a proxy for socialism, a proxymoron? Is that even a word? It should be.

This was an attack on consumption from the beginning. Consumption was at the beating heart of Adam Smith's love story with capitalism. An Inquiry Into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations. It is a boring book, but brilliant none the less. PJ O'Rourke wrote a fantastic book explaining Smithian theory.

"Always read something that will make you look good if you die in the middle of it."

-P. J. O'Rourke

The truth shall set you free...

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