I will be most curious to see how NDP polling numbers evolve now that a number of pundits have been proclaiming Iggy's summer tour as a success that will have a lasting impact. Will the Liberals eat away at NDP support, or does Lucky Jack remain a bigger threat to Iggy than visa versa? If you see a poll with the Greens over 12%, I would not take it seriously. They have been losing membership amid internal turmoil, and Liberal donor Frank Graves remains the only pollster who seriously believes the Greens could win a seat right now.
But if Iggy is indeed going to see a Summer Tour bump in his polling numbers, how steady will Jack's numbers hold? He has a really good excuse for not doing a summer tour, as he has been fighting prostate cancer. One has to wonder if Jack's feel good story will eat away at the Liberal's compassionate left flank?