Maybe you are like me and you are growing tired of the bitter partisanship and constant electioneering that we have been getting in the past 6 years of minority Canadian Parliament. In my opinion we are overdue for a majority. Which of the two main parties is the closest to forming a majority Government? The Conservatives need to add 11 seats, and the Liberals need to add 78 seats. Which do you think is more likely to happen? What's the Vegas split on that spread?
In the 11 weakest Liberal ridings were the Tories are the closest, they are a total of 15,079 votes behind. In the 78 Tory ridings where the Liberals are the closest to winning, they are a total of 741,502 votes away. The Tories need 15,079 votes for a majority, the Liberals need 741,502 votes. For each vote the Tories need, the Liberals need 49. The only other way that the Liberals can attain 155 votes in the House of Commons is in a left wing coalition, which Liberals refuse to talk about.
If you were betting on a Tory majority, you'd get maybe 2 to 1 or 3 to 1 odds. If you were betting on a Liberal majority, you'd probably be able to get 30 to 1 or 40 to 1 (assuming of course that you could find a legal casino taking bets on Canadian election outcomes).
Based on the Congo Abortion Vote even if the Liberals had a majority, they may still have difficulty in passing their Carbon Tax.
ReplyDeleteI want a majority for several reasons. The CPC would eliminate the tax sucking political parties from the teats of the taxpayers.
Dont forget to check out pundits guide 2008 close contests query.
If all the Left-wing Parties ever got together in love and friendship,we'd be stuck with a LibDipBloc government for the next several years until they buried themselves in another scandal like Adscam.
ReplyDeleteFortunately, each is led by a big ego that wants to be PM of Canada or Quebec so a true coalition is unlikely.
I'd like to see a Conservative majority of about 185 seats,then we'd see up close and personal what their Right-wing agenda really is!
Then just to be sure,followed by ANOTHER Conservative majority,further revealing their Right-wing agenda!
After a few majorities,we would all know just how fascistic their agenda really is and could relax and vote in the LibDipBloc again if we wanted to.
Someone should suggest this to Michael and jack and Gilles.
DMorris
Our Country will be plagued by many more minority parliaments until the duplicitous traitors known colloquially as the "Block Heads" are allowed to sit in our house of commons. It is a complete non-sequetor that we allow a treasonous political party bent of the destruction of the county to sit in it's seat of Government! BAN THE BLOC - then we will have the majority government we deserve.
ReplyDeleteJust eliminate the vote subsidy - wipe it out - and the Bloc are gone.
ReplyDeleteMichael St.Paul's
Nony @ 6:01 , You don't go "banning" political parties you don't like. You could hardly call it a democracy if that could happen. That's as bad as installing a foreigner as leader of a major political party.
ReplyDeleteBack to the drawing board.
Between the June 2004 election and the Jan 2006 election, what did Stephen Harper do ? One thing he did was recruit high profile candidates, many who had governing experience--Jim Flaherty, John Baird and Lawrence Cannon, for example.
ReplyDeleteHe also put together an effective group of opposition critics. It was all designed to present the CPC as a government-in-waiting, and himself as a PM-in-waiting.
How much of this kind of stuff has Iggy done ? Very little. Pick any one of their critics, say Dominic Leblanc in justice. Does anybody have the remotest clue what kind of justice legislation he would bring in ? What about Easter in Agriculture ? It's all a blank slate.
Put it all together, and it tells me that the odds of the Libs getting a majority are astronomically long. Probably incalculable.
If the choice comes down to a Conservative minority government or a Liberal majority government, I'll take the former any day. Hell, I'll take anarchy before a Liberal majority.
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