Today's poll question; when do you expect the next Canadian election? The Conservatives are not in a polling position to force a vote anytime soon, but tied in the polls might be good enough for the Liberals. They are asserting that the government is spending money recklessly, which to me suggests that they would like to vote against either the fall economic update or the budget next spring. We are nearly at the 2nd birthday of this minority parliament, which puts it past the standard life expectancy for minority parliaments.
If I had to assign probabilities to the possible outcomes: 60% chance the government falls in the spring of 2011 on the next budget, 20% chance the opposition votes against the economic update this fall, and a 20% chance that this parliament lives into next summer.
100% chance Harper calls an election by the end of October.
ReplyDeleteo/t
ReplyDeleteha,
hand over those documents CBC!!
CBC is not above the law of the land.
MONTREAL – A federal court ruled Friday that Canada’s information czar can order the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation to produce records under the access to information law....
http://cnews.canoe.ca/CNEWS/MediaNews/2010/09/25/15475941.html
"They are asserting that the government is spending money recklessly"
ReplyDeleteAs a fiscal Conservative I think that tack would work for the Liberals. Harper and his crew may have done a good job overall with this downturn but they have screwed up on spending. The average Canadian seems to be very pissed off with the free spending that is going on. Epitomised by the politically motivated funding of a hockey rink in Quebec City. This has nothing to do with it being in Quebec or hockey. It is about the spending.
Rob Ford, in Toronto of all places, has personified the national angst. The Conservatives, of all parties, should be out in front on that issue.
The Conservatives better start being Conservatives if they wish to gain a majority.
They would be smart to get an election going now before the economy tanks again.
I would bet on this fall. I feel this way mainly because of the co-ordinated efforts of the media and the Librano/Separatist party to manufacture scandal at every turn, and the free advertising campaign of American Iggo as the latest Librano hero. This ramped up co-ordination by the media and the Librano-Separatists makes feel something is up.
ReplyDeleteWe have a defacto majority with 30 Liberals not blocking money, confidence motions.
ReplyDeleteThey are doing a roadshow this Fall. Hmmmm!
We have a problem with the endless delays and games but in a minority it is expected.
So the Agenda this Fall seems packed with a great deal of law and order stuff. Is it a strategic decision?
We are in year two on the Plan and the opposition are demanding we extend the spending to keep the reckless spending line.
Run the clock let the spending die. Call by-elections if that Bloc MP resigns and pick up 2-3 more seats in November.
The key is to treat the taxpayer with respect and present the case against the tax and spend coalition.
The coalition won't know what hit them when they get the rebuke from Canadians.
The spring budget will contain a poison pill.
ReplyDeleteThe Libs are not even now;not quite therefore,nothing in the fall. The Cons will have a budget that will project a balanced budget in a couple years or so and will put something else in that'll force the three amigos (aka PEP BOYS)to pull the pin.
If the Conservatives were to curtail spending the Coalition will scream bloody murder. The Harper team should start axing spending now, saying it's becoming too much to handle.. then skewer the Coalition by pointing out how they want to keep ramping-up unsustainable debt.Maybe that will help win a Conservative majority and the "Pep Boys" can go to hell. NO QUARTER
ReplyDeleteLet's wait till we see those cbc documents. What if they prove the cbc has kept important info and twisted stories to make the PM look bad.
ReplyDeleteIf they wanted the detainee documents made public, so should their documents be made public.
Then we can look for an election, when the cbc will be made to look the fool.
Cut the 1.95/vote, no arena for Quebec, (should they get the 2020 olympics, then maybe, not until)
Cut more funding to sp interest groups, budget 4.m only for the gun registry,
That should get some coalition members thinking.